The investment outlook – it’s not all that bad! Here are nine reasons why

Published: July 20, 2016

Introduction The past few weeks have been messy with Brexit, the Australian election, another terrorist attack in France and an attempted coup in Turkey. In fact, the last 12 months have been – starting with the latest Greek tantrum and China share market plunge a year ago. It’s almost as if someone has listened to […]

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Australia’s messy 2016 election

Published: July 5, 2016

Introduction This note takes a look at the implications of Australia’s Federal election. The Australian Federal election has delivered a messy result suggesting an even more difficult Senate for the Coalition if it is able to form government and the risk of return to minority government. The risk is that we will see a further slippage […]

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Brexit wins – implications for the world, Australia, and investors

Published: June 27, 2016

Introduction In a shock for financial markets which had been increasingly confident that Britain would vote to Remain in the European Union, a victory for the Leave outcome by 52% to 48% triggered an abrupt bout of “risk off” in financial markets late last week. I suspect it was probably also a shock to many […]

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Brexit or Bremain – or does it really matter?

Published: June 21, 2016

Introduction Y2K, Bird Flu, Peak Oil, Swine Flu, the end of the Mayan Calendar, Grexit, the fiscal cliff, US debt default, ghost cities, Ebola, Grexit again, imminent property crashes, etc…the world seems full of key events and phenomena upon which its whole existence – well at least the financial realm – supposedly hinges. Brexit seems […]

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Where are we in the roller coaster of investor emotion?

Published: June 8, 2016

Introduction Recently I was asked where we are in the cycle of investor emotion between the extremes of “euphoria” and “depression”. This is a good question, as knowing where the investment crowd is at and being wary of it is essential to successful investing. The late 1980s Japanese bubble, the Asian miracle of the mid-1990s, […]

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RBA rate cuts, inflation targets, deflation and are central banks out of ammo?

Published: May 19, 2016

Introduction This year has seen a growing concern that central banks are out of ammo when it comes to reinvigorating global growth and preventing deflation. And the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut has some fearing that it’s going down the same “failed path” as other major central banks. But is it really that […]

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The 2016 Australian Federal Election and Investors

Published: May 10, 2016

With the Federal election now confirmed for July 2 it is natural to wonder what the implications for investment markets and the economy might be. At present opinion polls give the Coalition a slight lead over Labor but it’s very close at around 51%/49%. That said according to bets placed on online betting agencies the […]

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Why have Australian shares underperformed global shares? Will it continue?

Published: April 28, 2016

Australian shares lagging Since the March 2009 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) low in share markets, Australian shares are up 65%, compared to a 145% gain in global shares in local currency terms and a 210% gain in US shares. In fact, both global and US shares reached record highs last year and still remain above […]

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